Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.605239 0.686159 0.772357 0.870843 0.980082 1.097359 1.232617
2025-09-28 0.466145 0.576117 0.701993 0.856025 1.038671 1.247546 1.503657
2025-10-05 0.390215 0.521773 0.682436 0.891331 1.153804 1.470566 1.879415
2025-10-12 0.331542 0.476994 0.665540 0.924511 1.267102 1.700493 2.285208
2025-10-19 0.276885 0.427227 0.633415 0.931456 1.344791 1.890413 2.656227
2025-10-26 0.232814 0.383905 0.602404 0.933538 1.413001 2.070680 3.026887
2025-11-02 0.197530 0.347013 0.574277 0.934199 1.476403 2.246521 3.402249
2025-11-09 0.168690 0.314921 0.548078 0.932915 1.534351 2.416360 3.778700
2025-11-16 0.145692 0.288294 0.526171 0.934316 1.594280 2.590961 4.171344
2025-11-23 0.124728 0.261468 0.499910 0.924707 1.634436 2.736632 4.528148
2025-11-30 0.111466 0.246282 0.490982 0.941834 1.717216 2.951250 5.000814
2025-12-07 0.096185 0.224551 0.467447 0.930712 1.751271 3.089942 5.361965
2025-12-14 0.085391 0.210220 0.456008 0.940359 1.822286 3.294577 5.843876
2025-12-21 0.073273 0.190925 0.432560 0.925334 1.848734 3.427311 6.217303
2025-12-28 0.068223 0.186292 0.437300 0.963617 1.972893 3.731303 6.890152
2026-01-04 0.063417 0.181363 0.440726 0.999435 2.094923 4.038511 7.584641
2026-01-11 0.056746 0.170698 0.430633 1.007057 2.164423 4.257733 8.140123
2026-01-18 0.050507 0.159881 0.418697 1.009399 2.223467 4.461102 8.677885
2026-01-25 0.044940 0.149689 0.406730 1.010175 2.278970 4.660503 9.217922
2026-02-01 0.039930 0.139971 0.394480 1.008842 2.329659 4.853193 9.754691
2026-02-08 0.035688 0.131534 0.384098 1.010365 2.385808 5.058509 10.323498
2026-02-15 0.031363 0.121867 0.369281 1.000094 2.416257 5.216079 10.811306
2026-02-22 0.028860 0.117348 0.366938 1.018437 2.508220 5.496408 11.539832